After getting a bit lost in the question of whether we should in principle be able to have a clue about future ramifications of our actions, I would like to turn back to questions of how well we’re actually doing so far. It looks like, for long-term projections, we are indeed pretty clueless. This document,ContinueContinue reading “How good are we at predicting the future?”
Tag Archives: Artificial Intelligence
Zooming in: Writing Sequence Number Two
“Another writing challenge!?” you ask. Fair enough. Maybe I’ll drop the word “challenge”, to make it seem less grandiose. But it definitely seems to be the case that I deal better with work/research/thinking/writing sprints than with trying to produce a constant trickle of output. Even when I remembered that “write it down” was a goodContinueContinue reading “Zooming in: Writing Sequence Number Two”
Humans, machines, and the cocktail parties in my head
Are humans machines; frail bodies to be optimized and overcome? And what is this haunting sense of there being more to it? An exploration through the cocktail parties of my mind.
Unclear assumptions in AI risk
This morning, I read the 2014 FHI policy brief “Unprecedented Technological Risks”. Unusually critically-minded today, I found it easy to notice some assumptions that were at least non-obvious to me, which in turn might point either to them lacking justification, or me not having looked at them well enough. Weird assumptions I don’t have muchContinueContinue reading “Unclear assumptions in AI risk”
AI risk: bullets, bullet-points, and poems
What are the primary risks to society of failure for AI systems, and how can these risks be monitored and addressed at scale?DeepMind Ethics & Society I found myself cringing away from the question, while at the same time dismissing it – a sure sign that I should look at it for at least halfContinueContinue reading “AI risk: bullets, bullet-points, and poems”
What do we need to forecast AI development?
I am sorry. This is an awfully broad question, but it’s already late (which I notice by counting the number of spelling mistakes I make in a sentence – 4 in this one so far, ah, now 5). I had lots of thinking time and reading time and discussion time today. My head is oneContinueContinue reading “What do we need to forecast AI development?”
How does AI work?
Trying to get a handle on how neural networks and deep learning work. Also how to fool a neural net, and speculations about the future of AI.
What does it mean for a task to be AI-complete?
Would machines that can “do language” have general intelligence?
How likely are AIs to be agents? What does it mean to be an agent?
I seem unable to answer the former question without reference to the latter. I’ve been a bit confused about what it means to be an agent. I also know that other people are spending actual time doing actual philosophy on the agent vs. tools question, but that shall not detract me from starting some preliminaryContinueContinue reading “How likely are AIs to be agents? What does it mean to be an agent?”
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